Kalshi
Highest third-party vote share in a 2026 Senate race?
in the 2026 U.S. Senate elections
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 2% at 97%, ahead of At least 4% at 82%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $65 in all.
- Favorite
- At least 2% 97%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $65
- Closes
- January 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- At least 2%97%
- At least 4%82%
- At least 6%23%
- At least 8%5%
- At least 10%4%
- At least 12%4%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%8:14 AM8:14 PM8:14 AM97% At least 2%
The line follows the current favorite, At least 2%. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 77%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 39%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 43%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
