Kalshi
Holborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
Vote Percent - Reform UK
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 3% at 97%, ahead of At least 5% at 95%. $209 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- At least 3% 97%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $209
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- December 31, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- At least 3%97%
- At least 5%95%
- At least 7%65%▲ 5
- At least 9%46%
- At least 12%23%
- At least 15%12%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:59 AM2:59 PM2:59 AM97% At least 3%
The line follows the current favorite, At least 3%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
