Polymarket
Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Vote Share Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Labour 15%+ at 36%, ahead of Labour 5-10% at 20%. $63 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- Labour 15%+ 36%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $63
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- October 8, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Labour 15%+36%▲ 1
- Labour 5-10%20%▼ 4
- Labour 0-5%18%▲ 1
- Labour 10-15%18%▲ 1
- Green 0-5%10%▼ 6
- Green 5-10%4%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:41 AM4:41 PM4:41 AM36% Labour 15%+
The line follows the current favorite, Labour 15%+. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
