Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

How many government shutdowns in 2026?

in 2026

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 2 at 65%, ahead of 3 at 33%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $58K in all.

Favorite: 2 65%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $58K
Closes: January 1, 2027

Every outcome

265%
333%
46%
53%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:39 AM6:39 PM6:39 AM65% 2

The line follows the current favorite, 2. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.