Kalshi
How many House Republicans will lose reelection in 2026?
2026 elections
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 16 or more at 90%, ahead of 20 or more at 77%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.
- Favorite
- 16 or more 90%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $0
- Closes
- December 31, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 9)
- 16 or more90%
- 20 or more77%
- 24 or more61%
- 28 or more45%
- 32 or more32%
- 36 or more23%
3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:55 AM9:55 PM9:55 AM90% 16 or more
The line follows the current favorite, 16 or more. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
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- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 27%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 47%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
