Kalshi
How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
of the 435 seats up in the 2026 U.S. House elections, based on media calls
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 182 at 89%, ahead of At least 186 at 85%. $470 traded in the last 24 hours, $73K in all.
- Favorite
- At least 182 89%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $470
- Traded in all
- $73K
- Closes
- January 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 14)
- At least 18289%
- At least 18685%
- At least 19076%▼ 4
- At least 19467%
- At least 19856%
- At least 20245%
8 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:50 AM2:50 PM2:50 AM89% At least 182
The line follows the current favorite, At least 182. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 77%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
