Polymarket
How many Independents will be elected to Congress?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 0 at 56%, ahead of 1 at 29%. $190 traded in the last 24 hours, $6K in all.
- Favorite
- 0 56%
- 24 hours
- down 9 pts
- Traded today
- $190
- Traded in all
- $6K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome
- 056%▼ 9
- 129%▲ 5
- 26%▲ 1
- 34%▼ 1
- 4+3%▲ 2
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:36 AM3:36 PM3:36 AM56% 0
The line follows the current favorite, 0. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More congress markets
- Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028 26%
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?7%
- Will the SAVE Act become law?3%
- Will the Clarity Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2028 18%
- Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic Party 93%
- Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Florida 99%
- Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?Before Jan 21, 2029 33%
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Raphael Warnock 12%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
