Kalshi

How many independents will be elected to Congress in the midterms?

in the 2026 U.S. congressional elections for the 120th Congress

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor At least 1 at 37%, ahead of At least 2 at 17%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.

Favorite
At least 1 37%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$2K
Closes
January 3, 2027

Every outcome

  1. At least 137%
  2. At least 217%
  3. At least 38%
  4. At least 45%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:39 AM8:39 PM8:39 AM37% At least 1

The line follows the current favorite, At least 1. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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