Kalshi
How many Senate and Governor races will Republicans win in Harris states?
at the November 3, 2026 general election
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor 2 at 40%, ahead of 3 at 28%. $63 traded in the last 24 hours, $30K in all.
- Favorite
- 2 40%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $63
- Traded in all
- $30K
- Closes
- December 15, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- 240%
- 328%▲ 1
- 112%
- 08%
- 48%
- 53%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:50 AM3:50 PM3:50 AM40% 2
The line follows the current favorite, 2. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 76%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
