Polymarket

IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 20-25% at 33%, ahead of Democrat 15-20% at 32%. $58 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite
Democrat 20-25% 33%
24 hours
down 1 pts
Traded today
$58
Traded in all
$8K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Democrat 20-25%33%▼ 1
  2. Democrat 15-20%32%
  3. Democrat 25-30%17%▲ 3
  4. Democrat 10-15%17%▲ 2
  5. Democrat 5-10%4%▼ 3
  6. Democrat 30%+3%▼ 2

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:34 AM5:34 PM5:34 AM33% Democrat 20-25%

The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 20-25%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More world politics markets

Every world politics market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works