Polymarket

IN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Republican 10-15% at 40%, ahead of Republican 15-20% at 25%. $269 traded in the last 24 hours, $17K in all.

Favorite
Republican 10-15% 40%
24 hours
up 12 pts
Traded today
$269
Traded in all
$17K
Closes
November 4, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 9)

  1. Republican 10-15%40%▲ 12
  2. Republican 15-20%25%▼ 0
  3. Republican 20-25%20%
  4. Republican 5-10%10%▲ 4
  5. Republican 35%+7%
  6. Republican 25-30%7%▲ 1

3 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:34 AM5:34 PM5:34 AM40% Republican 10-15%

The line follows the current favorite, Republican 10-15%. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

See this market on Polymarket →

More world politics markets

Every world politics market →

Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

Data partnerLunarCrushThe Pulse, our social buzz and sentiment data, is powered by LunarCrush. How it works