Polymarket
Iran leader end of 2026?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Mojtaba Khamenei at 87%, ahead of No Head of State at 5%. $12K traded in the last 24 hours, $39.8M in all.
- Favorite
- Mojtaba Khamenei 87%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $12K
- Traded in all
- $39.8M
- Closes
- December 31, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 30)
- Mojtaba Khamenei87%
- No Head of State5%
- Reza Pahlavi3%
- Alireza Arafi1%
- Hassan Rouhani1%
- Masoud Pezeshkian<1%
24 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:40 AM3:40 PM3:40 AM87% Mojtaba Khamenei
The line follows the current favorite, Mojtaba Khamenei. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.