Polymarket

Iran leader end of 2026?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Mojtaba Khamenei at 87%, ahead of No Head of State at 5%. $12K traded in the last 24 hours, $39.8M in all.

Favorite
Mojtaba Khamenei 87%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$12K
Traded in all
$39.8M
Closes
December 31, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 30)

  1. Mojtaba Khamenei87%
  2. No Head of State5%
  3. Reza Pahlavi3%
  4. Alireza Arafi1%
  5. Hassan Rouhani1%
  6. Masoud Pezeshkian<1%

24 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:40 AM3:40 PM3:40 AM87% Mojtaba Khamenei

The line follows the current favorite, Mojtaba Khamenei. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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