Polymarket
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor October 4 at 94%, ahead of October 31 at 92%. $5K traded in the last 24 hours, $24K in all.
- Favorite
- October 4 94%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $5K
- Traded in all
- $24K
- Closes
- November 1, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 28)
- October 494%
- October 3192%▼ 1
- October 691%▲ 3
- October 890%▲ 4
- October 589%
- October 1189%
22 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:50 AM2:50 PM2:50 AM94% October 4
The line follows the current favorite, October 4. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
