Polymarket
Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor October 31 at 7%, ahead of October 15 at 2%. $259 traded in the last 24 hours, $19K in all.
- Favorite
- October 31 7%
- 24 hours
- down 3 pts
- Traded today
- $259
- Traded in all
- $19K
- Closes
- September 30, 2026
Every outcome
- October 317%▼ 3
- October 152%
- September 302%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:22 AM5:22 PM5:22 AM7% October 31
The line follows the current favorite, October 31. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
