Kalshi
Midterms: Democratic share of men's vote?
On Nov 6, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Above 40% at 94%, ahead of Above 42% at 88%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $23 in all.
- Favorite
- Above 40% 94%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $23
- Closes
- November 6, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Above 40%94%
- Above 42%88%
- Above 44%81%
- Above 46%60%
- Above 48%39%
- Above 50%18%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:41 AM4:41 PM4:41 AM94% Above 40%
The line follows the current favorite, Above 40%. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 76%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 15%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
