Kalshi
Midterms: Democratic share of white non-college vote?
On Nov 6, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Above 30% at 91%, ahead of Above 32% at 78%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $7 in all.
- Favorite
- Above 30% 91%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $7
- Closes
- November 6, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Above 30%91%
- Above 32%78%
- Above 34%65%
- Above 36%53%
- Above 38%40%
- Above 40%27%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:36 AM5:36 PM5:36 AM91% Above 30%
The line follows the current favorite, Above 30%. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 76%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 15%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
