Kalshi
Midterms: Republican share of Black vote?
On Nov 6, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Above 6% at 95%, ahead of Above 8% at 88%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- Above 6% 95%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- November 6, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Above 6%95%
- Above 8%88%
- Above 10%44%
- Above 12%17%
- Above 16%6%
- Above 14%5%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:07 AM9:07 PM9:07 AM95% Above 6%
The line follows the current favorite, Above 6%. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 77%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 38%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 27%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 48%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
