Polymarket
Next leader out of power before 2027?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor None before 2027 at 34%, ahead of Netanyahu - Israel PM at 30%. $25K traded in the last 24 hours, $739K in all.
- Favorite
- None before 2027 34%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $25K
- Traded in all
- $739K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 22)
- None before 202734%
- Netanyahu - Israel PM30%▼ 1
- Sánchez - Spanish PM23%▲ 10
- Lecornu - France PM6%▼ 5
- Abbas - President of Palestine2%▼ 1
- Merz - German Chancellor2%▼ 3
16 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:40 AM3:40 PM3:40 AM34% None before 2027
The line follows the current favorite, None before 2027. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
