Polymarket
Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Christopher Luxon at 56%, ahead of Chris Hipkins at 45%. $306 traded in the last 24 hours, $41K in all.
- Favorite
- Christopher Luxon 56%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $306
- Traded in all
- $41K
- Closes
- November 8, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 7)
- Christopher Luxon56%▲ 1
- Chris Hipkins45%▼ 1
- Carmel Sepuloni1%
- Chlöe Swarbrick1%▼ 0
- David Seymour1%
- Winston Peters<1%
1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:51 AM3:51 PM3:51 AM56% Christopher Luxon
The line follows the current favorite, Christopher Luxon. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.