Polymarket
NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Democrat 10-15% at 25%, ahead of Democrat 20-25% at 23%. $101 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.
- Favorite
- Democrat 10-15% 25%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $101
- Traded in all
- $10K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- Democrat 10-15%25%
- Democrat 20-25%23%▲ 3
- Democrat 15-20%22%
- Democrat 5-10%16%
- Democrat 25%+14%▲ 5
- Republican 0-5%7%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:22 AM5:22 PM5:22 AM25% Democrat 10-15%
The line follows the current favorite, Democrat 10-15%. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
