Kalshi
North Carolina early voters: party registration margin?
As of Nov 4, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor D+2 to D+3.9 at 27%, ahead of D+0 to D+1.9 at 22%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $0 in all.
- Favorite
- D+2 to D+3.9 27%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $0
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- D+2 to D+3.927%
- D+0 to D+1.922%
- D+4 to D+5.922%
- R+2 to R+3.96%
- R+0.1 to R+1.96%
- D+6 to D+7.96%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:49 AM3:49 PM3:49 AM27% D+2 to D+3.9
The line follows the current favorite, D+2 to D+3.9. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 76%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.