Kalshi

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (9/28 - 10/4)

9/28 - 10/4

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor September 30 at 48%, ahead of October 2 at 19%. $3K traded in the last 24 hours, $38K in all.

Favorite
September 30 48%
24 hours
up 4 pts
Traded today
$3K
Traded in all
$38K
Closes
October 6, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 7)

  1. September 3048%▲ 4
  2. October 219%▲ 1
  3. September 2816%▼ 1
  4. October 414%▲ 1
  5. September 295%
  6. October 35%▲ 1

1 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:51 AM2:51 PM2:51 AM48% September 30

The line follows the current favorite, September 30. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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