Polymarket
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor JD Vance at 98%, ahead of Donald Trump Jr. at 1%. $51 traded in the last 24 hours, $7K in all.
- Favorite
- JD Vance 98%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $51
- Traded in all
- $7K
- Closes
- October 31, 2026
Every outcome
- JD Vance98%
- Donald Trump Jr.1%
- Marco Rubio1%
- Ron DeSantis1%
- Tucker Carlson<1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:56 AM5:56 PM5:56 AM98% JD Vance
The line follows the current favorite, JD Vance. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
