Polymarket

Russia strikes another vessel in Black Sea by...?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor August 21 at 86%, ahead of August 28 at 85%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $9K in all.

Favorite
August 21 86%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$9K
Closes
August 28, 2026

Every outcome

  1. August 2186%
  2. August 2885%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:42 AM3:42 PM3:42 AM86% August 21

The line follows the current favorite, August 21. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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