Polymarket
São Paulo Governor Election Winner
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Tarcísio de Freitas at more than 99%, ahead of Fernando Haddad at less than 1%. $19K traded in the last 24 hours, $350K in all.
- Favorite
- Tarcísio de Freitas >99%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $19K
- Traded in all
- $350K
- Closes
- October 5, 2026
Every outcome
- Tarcísio de Freitas>99%
- Fernando Haddad<1%
- Erika Hilton<1%
- Márcio França<1%
- Kim Kataguiri<1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:04 AM6:04 PM6:04 AM100% Tarcísio de Freitas
The line follows the current favorite, Tarcísio de Freitas. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 81%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 82%
- Brazil presidential election: first round winner?Flávio Bolsonaro >99%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 46%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <5% >99%
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerSudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 14%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 73%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
