Polymarket
Speaker of the House after the midterms?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Hakeem Jeffries at 88%, ahead of Mike Johnson at 6%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $5K in all.
- Favorite
- Hakeem Jeffries 88%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $5K
- Closes
- November 4, 2026
Every outcome
- Hakeem Jeffries88%▲ 1
- Mike Johnson6%
- Jim Jordan4%
- Pete Aguilar4%
- Katherine Clark4%
- Steve Scalise4%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%9:03 AM9:03 PM9:03 AM88% Hakeem Jeffries
The line follows the current favorite, Hakeem Jeffries. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More congress markets
- Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028 26%
- Will the SAVE Act become law?3%
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?7%
- Will the Clarity Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2028 18%
- Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic Party 92%
- Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?Before Jan 21, 2029 39%
- Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Florida 99%
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Raphael Warnock 12%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
