Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Taiwan presidential election winner?

In 2028

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor William Lai at 68%, ahead of Hou Yu-ih at 7%. $27 traded in the last 24 hours, $11K in all.

Favorite: William Lai 68%
24 hours: down 5 pts
Traded today: $27
Traded in all: $11K
Closes: January 30, 2029

Every outcome

William Lai68%▼ 5
Hou Yu-ih7%▼ 9
Terry Gou5%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:45 AM2:45 PM2:45 AM68% William Lai

The line follows the current favorite, William Lai. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.