Kalshi
When will a reconciliation bill become law?
a reconciliation bill
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2029 at 41%, ahead of Before Jul 1, 2028 at 32%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2029 41%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $1K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- Before Jan 1, 202941%
- Before Jul 1, 202832%
- Before Jan 1, 202831%
- Before Jul 1, 202730%
- Before Jan 1, 202729%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:58 AM5:58 PM5:58 AM41% Before Jan 1, 2029
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2029. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
