Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?

In 2027

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2027 at 25%, ahead of Before Dec 1, 2026 at 7%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $8K in all.

Favorite: Before Jan 1, 2027 25%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $8K
Closes: November 1, 2026

Every outcome

Before Jan 1, 202725%
Before Dec 1, 20267%
Before Nov 1, 20262%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:37 AM4:37 PM4:37 AM25% Before Jan 1, 2027

The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2027. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.