Kalshi
When will the PROMISE Act pass the Senate?
legislation that requires the Social Security Advisory Board to develop legislative recommendations to achieve at least 50 years of Social Security Trust Fund solvency and establishes expedited congressional procedures for consideration of those recommendations
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2027 at 7%, ahead of Before Nov 21, 2026 at 3%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2027 7%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 21, 2026
Every outcome
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
- Before Nov 21, 20263%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:39 AM3:39 PM3:39 AM7% Before Jan 1, 2027
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2027. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
More congress markets
- Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?December 31, 2028 26%
- Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?7%
- Will the SAVE Act become law?3%
- Will the Clarity Act become law?Before Jan 1, 2028 18%
- Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?Shutdown & Democratic Party 93%
- Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?Florida 99%
- Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?Before Jan 21, 2029 33%
- Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?Raphael Warnock 12%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.