Kalshi
Where will Republicans win state legislative supermajorities in 2026?
On Nov 3, 2026
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Utah Senate at 80%, ahead of Idaho Senate at 67%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $4K in all.
- Favorite
- Utah Senate 80%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $4K
- Closes
- January 3, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 21)
- Utah Senate80%
- Idaho Senate67%
- Ohio Senate55%
- South Carolina House55%
- Missouri House49%
- Florida House49%
15 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%11:34 AM11:34 PM11:34 AM80% Utah Senate
The line follows the current favorite, Utah Senate. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 87%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 38%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 27%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 47%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
