Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Italy at 13%, ahead of New Zealand at 11%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $761K in all.

Favorite
Italy 13%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$0
Traded in all
$761K
Closes
January 1, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 11)

  1. Italy13%
  2. New Zealand11%
  3. Japan10%▲ 2
  4. Finland9%
  5. Greece9%▼ 2
  6. The Netherlands8%

5 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%4:29 AM4:29 PM4:29 AM13% Italy

The line follows the current favorite, Italy. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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