Polymarket
Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor US at 27%, ahead of Australia at 19%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $50K in all.
- Favorite
- US 27%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $50K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 8)
- US27%
- Australia19%▼ 1
- Italy17%▼ 1
- UK13%▼ 0
- Greece11%▲ 4
- France9%
2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:37 AM4:37 PM4:37 AM27% US
The line follows the current favorite, US. One reading an hour.
Embed these odds on your site
Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.
See this market on Polymarket →
More world politics markets
- Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 81%
- Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 82%
- Brazil presidential election: first round winner?Flávio Bolsonaro >99%
- Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 46%
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <5% >99%
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerSudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 14%
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 73%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
