Polymarket
Which of these Democrats will be the first to announce a run for President?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Andy Beshear at 21%, ahead of Gavin Newsom at 18%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Andy Beshear 21%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- January 1, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 11)
- Andy Beshear21%
- Gavin Newsom18%
- Pete Buttigieg14%
- Ro Khanna13%
- Kamala Harris12%
- Rahm Emanuel8%
5 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:52 AM2:52 PM2:52 AM21% Andy Beshear
The line follows the current favorite, Andy Beshear. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
