Polymarket
Which of these Republicans will be the first to announce a run for President?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor J.D. Vance at 28%, ahead of Ron DeSantis at 21%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $12K in all.
- Favorite
- J.D. Vance 28%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $12K
- Closes
- January 1, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- J.D. Vance28%
- Ron DeSantis21%
- Ted Cruz14%
- Marco Rubio6%
- Donald Trump Jr.6%
- Donald Trump4%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:18 PM12:18 AM12:18 PM28% J.D. Vance
The line follows the current favorite, J.D. Vance. One reading an hour.
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- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 28%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 49%
Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
