Polymarket

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Grüne at 92%, ahead of SPD at 91%. $30 traded in the last 24 hours, $18K in all.

Favorite
Grüne 92%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$30
Traded in all
$18K
Closes
September 21, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 8)

  1. Grüne92%
  2. SPD91%▲ 7
  3. Linke67%
  4. CDU23%
  5. BSW4%▼ 1
  6. FDP3%

2 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:36 AM3:36 PM3:36 AM92% Grüne

The line follows the current favorite, Grüne. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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