Kalshi
Which state will vote first in the 2028 Democratic presidential primary?
Before Apr 1, 2028
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor New Hampshire at 84%, ahead of Iowa at 8%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $97K in all.
- Favorite
- New Hampshire 84%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $97K
- Closes
- April 1, 2028
Every outcome
- New Hampshire84%
- Iowa8%
- South Carolina3%
- Nevada1%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%2:47 AM2:47 PM2:47 AM84% New Hampshire
The line follows the current favorite, New Hampshire. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
