Kalshi
Which states will redistrict before the 2028 election?
Before 2028
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Illinois at 81%, ahead of New York at 77%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $13K in all.
- Favorite
- Illinois 81%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $13K
- Closes
- November 7, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 13)
- Illinois81%
- New York77%
- Indiana67%
- Maryland57%
- Pennsylvania53%
- Wisconsin43%
7 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%7:09 AM7:09 PM7:09 AM81% Illinois
The line follows the current favorite, Illinois. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 77%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 39%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 43%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
