Polymarket
Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor Jared Kushner at 50%, ahead of Steve Witkoff at 49%. $25K traded in the last 24 hours, $1.2M in all.
- Favorite
- Jared Kushner 50%
- 24 hours
- up 1 pts
- Traded today
- $25K
- Traded in all
- $1.2M
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome (top 6 of 23)
- Jared Kushner50%▲ 1
- Steve Witkoff49%
- Abbas Araghchi48%▼ 1
- Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani35%▼ 4
- Majid Takht-Ravanchi28%▼ 5
- Kazem Gharibabadi23%▼ 9
17 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%5:24 AM5:24 PM5:24 AM50% Jared Kushner
The line follows the current favorite, Jared Kushner. One reading an hour.
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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
