Kalshi

Who will be House Minority Leader in the 120th Congress?

For the 120th Congress

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Jim Jordan at 27%, ahead of Mike Johnson at 14%. $4 traded in the last 24 hours, $94K in all.

Favorite
Jim Jordan 27%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$4
Traded in all
$94K
Closes
November 30, 2027

Every outcome (top 6 of 16)

  1. Jim Jordan27%
  2. Mike Johnson14%
  3. Steve Scalise9%
  4. Hakeem Jeffries4%
  5. Tom Emmer2%
  6. Richard Hudson2%

10 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:51 AM3:51 PM3:51 AM27% Jim Jordan

The line follows the current favorite, Jim Jordan. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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