Kalshi
Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?
Before Nov 7, 2028
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Andy Beshear at 28%, ahead of Pete Buttigieg at 23%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $90K in all.
- Favorite
- Andy Beshear 28%
- 24 hours
- up 7 pts
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $90K
- Closes
- November 7, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 10)
- Andy Beshear28%▲ 7
- Pete Buttigieg23%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Wes Moore5%
- Josh Shapiro2%
- Jon Ossoff2%
4 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%12:22 PM12:22 AM12:22 PM28% Andy Beshear
The line follows the current favorite, Andy Beshear. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
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- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 38%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 14%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 28%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 49%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
