Kalshi
Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
For the 2028 election
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Ted Cruz at 80%, ahead of J.D. Vance at 80%. $866 traded in the last 24 hours, $485K in all.
- Favorite
- Ted Cruz 80%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $866
- Traded in all
- $485K
- Closes
- January 1, 2028
Every outcome (top 6 of 37)
- Ted Cruz80%
- J.D. Vance80%
- Ron DeSantis64%▲ 2
- Marco Rubio53%▼ 4
- Rand Paul52%
- Thomas Massie48%
31 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Kalshi.
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%3:45 AM3:45 PM3:45 AM80% Ted Cruz
The line follows the current favorite, Ted Cruz. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 76%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
- Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?Senate 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
