Kalshi
Who will switch or leave their party in 2026?
Before Jan 2027
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor John Fetterman at 9%, ahead of Lisa Murkowski at 8%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $118K in all.
- Favorite
- John Fetterman 9%
- 24 hours
- no change
- Traded today
- $0
- Traded in all
- $118K
- Closes
- January 1, 2027
Every outcome
- John Fetterman9%
- Lisa Murkowski8%
- Thomas Massie5%
- Henry Cuellar2%
- Don Bacon2%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%4:34 AM4:34 PM4:34 AM9% John Fetterman
The line follows the current favorite, John Fetterman. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
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- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 54%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
