Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will China obtain an EUV machine?

Before Jan 1, 2030

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2030 at 71%, ahead of Before Jan 1, 2029 at 54%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $2K in all.

Favorite: Before Jan 1, 2030 71%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $2K
Closes: January 1, 2027

Every outcome

Before Jan 1, 203071%
Before Jan 1, 202954%
Before Jan 1, 202833%
Before Jan 1, 20277%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:57 AM5:57 PM5:57 AM71% Before Jan 1, 2030

The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2030. One reading an hour.

Embed these odds on your site

Paste this into any page. It updates every 10 minutes and links back here. Add ?theme=light or ?theme=dark to the address to fix the colors.

<iframe src="https://parlaythepeople.com/embed/market/k-kxchinaeuv-30/" width="100%" height="250" style="border:0;max-width:420px" loading="lazy" title="Odds from Parlay the People"></iframe>

See this market on Kalshi →

More world politics markets

Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 81%
Brazil Presidential election winner?Flávio Bolsonaro 82%
Brazil presidential election: first round winner?Flávio Bolsonaro >99%
Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 45%
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot 46%
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of VictoryFlávio Bolsonaro <5% >99%
2026 Nobel Peace Prize winnerSudan’s Emergency Response Rooms 14%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 31 73%

Every world politics market →

Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.