Where does this market trade?

On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in Spain or France?

Before Jan 1, 2027

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 4% chance. $129 traded in the last 24 hours, $10K in all.

Chance of Yes: 4%
24 hours: down 13 pts
Traded today: $129
Traded in all: $10K
Closes: January 1, 2027

The odds

Yes4%▼ 13

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%3:54 AM3:54 PM3:54 AM4% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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