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On Kalshi, a regulated prediction market. Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Kalshi

Will Joe Manchin run for president in 2028?

Before Mar 1, 2028

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi give it a 23% chance. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $723 in all.

Chance of Yes: 23%
24 hours: no change
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $723
Closes: March 1, 2028

The odds

Yes23%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%8:09 AM8:09 PM8:09 AM23% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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