Kalshi
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
John Fetterman leaving Democratic party
As of October 5, 2026, traders on Kalshi favor Before Jan 1, 2028 at 44%, ahead of Before Aug 1, 2027 at 28%. $65 traded in the last 24 hours, $68K in all.
- Favorite
- Before Jan 1, 2028 44%
- 24 hours
- down 6 pts
- Traded today
- $65
- Traded in all
- $68K
- Closes
- November 3, 2026
Every outcome
- Before Jan 1, 202844%▼ 6
- Before Aug 1, 202728%▲ 9
- Before Apr 1, 202723%
- Before Jan 1, 202713%
- Before Nov 3, 20264%
How the odds have moved
0%25%50%75%100%6:15 AM6:15 PM6:15 AM44% Before Jan 1, 2028
The line follows the current favorite, Before Jan 1, 2028. One reading an hour.
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More parties and 2028 markets
- How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?48 17%
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?Below 193 28%
- Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?↓ 7% 77%
- Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?Texas 37%
- Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?Ron DeSantis 15%
- 2028 Democratic VP nomineeElissa Slotkin 9%
- 2028 Republican Presidential ticketJD Vance and Marco Rubio 40%
- Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?Jon Ossoff 43%
Prices are Kalshi's own (bid/ask midpoint), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.
