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On Polymarket, a regulated prediction market (Polymarket). Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket give it a 30% chance. $479 traded in the last 24 hours, $445K in all.

Chance of Yes: 30%
24 hours: up 4 pts
Traded today: $479
Traded in all: $445K
Closes: January 1, 2027

The odds

Yes30%▲ 4

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%6:06 AM6:06 PM6:06 AM30% Chance of Yes

The price of a Yes contract, read as the chance the market resolves Yes. One reading an hour.

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