Polymarket

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor October 5 at 94%, ahead of October 6 at 94%. $6K traded in the last 24 hours, $147K in all.

Favorite
October 5 94%
24 hours
no change
Traded today
$6K
Traded in all
$147K
Closes
November 1, 2026

Every outcome (top 6 of 27)

  1. October 594%
  2. October 694%▲ 3
  3. October 788%
  4. October 888%▲ 4
  5. October 1288%▼ 2
  6. October 986%▲ 3

21 more outcomes, mostly long shots, are listed on Polymarket.

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%2:38 AM2:38 PM2:38 AM94% October 5

The line follows the current favorite, October 5. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.

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