Where does this market trade?

On Polymarket, a regulated prediction market (Polymarket). Parlay the People shows its prices; it is research, not betting advice.

Polymarket

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?

As of October 5, 2026, traders on Polymarket favor 10+ at 41%, ahead of 20+ at 32%. $0 traded in the last 24 hours, $1K in all.

Favorite: 10+ 41%
24 hours: up 6 pts
Traded today: $0
Traded in all: $1K
Closes: November 1, 2026

Every outcome

10+41%▲ 6
20+32%▲ 19
30+19%▲ 7
50+5%
40+2%

How the odds have moved

0%25%50%75%100%5:29 AM5:29 PM5:29 AM41% 10+

The line follows the current favorite, 10+. One reading an hour.

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Prices are Polymarket's own (displayed price), collected every 10 minutes. Research, not betting advice.